Poll: NYC Mayoral Race Tightens in Final Days

Zohran Mamdani’s lead over Andrew Cuomo has dropped to just 7 points in a new shocking poll in the mayor’s race – giving him the smallest edge he has held in any survey since July.

A new Atlas Intel survey has Mamdani leading the field with 41%, but by a far narrower margin than he has in other recent polls. It has the former New York governor, who is running as an independent, climbing by leaps and bounds to 34%.

It also gives Sliwa his best showing, at 24%, his high water mark since a HarrisX poll in July that had him at 22%.

Cuomo seized on the new poll result as proof he could prevail over his left wing rival.

“The gap is closing fast — we can feel it on the ground everywhere from the Bronx to Staten Island. At this rate, we win the race. Keep going strong,” he said in a statement.

The results come days after a pair of polls showed Mamdani with a comfortable lead. A Fox news poll released Thursday had Mamdani leading Cuomo by 47% to 31%, with Sliwa at just 15%, while an Emerson College poll had him leading by 50% to 25%, with Sliwa at 21%.

Mamdani leads by an average of 14.5% in the latest Real Clear Politics polling average, putting him on a path to walk into Gracie Mansion.

The average has him at 45%, followed by Cuomo at 31% and Sliwa at 17%.

The new Atlas poll reveals the impact of Sliwa’s run, amid calls for him to drop out. If it were a two-man contrast between Cuomo and Mamdani, Cuomo would lead 50% to 42%, according to the poll.

The results come as thousands of New Yorkers have already made up their minds, with nearly half a million of them already casting early ballots, a big uptick from 2021, according to the City Board of Elections.

A separate Atlas poll shows an exceedingly tight contest in the New Jersey governor’s race. Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill is holding a narrow 50-49 lead over Republican Jack Ciattarelli. Sherrill is bringing in former President Barack Obama to campaign for her in Newark Saturday to try to fire up supporters.

That poll is consistent with a Emerson College poll showing a narrow 50% to 48% lead for Sherrill. A Fox News poll released Thursday has a wider 52% to 45%.

The Atlas New York poll had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

It comes a day after Cuomo campaigned in Brighton Beach and told supporters there is “no way” Sliwa can win, saying he “can only make Zohran Mamdani win.”