Poll: Mamdani Leads General Election for NYC Mayor

Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani holds a 10 point lead over Andrew Cuomo in New York City’s general election for mayor, while incumbent Mayor Eric Adams trails in fourth place behind Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa, according to a new poll.

Mamdani gets support from 35 percent of registered voters, followed by Cuomo with 25, Sliwa with 14, Adams at 11 and attorney Jim Walden at 1 percent. Thirteen percent of respondents said they weren’t sure, while 1 percent picked another candidate.

The poll was conducted and paid for by Slingshot Strategies, a polling firm that worked for mayoral candidate Scott Stringer in the Democratic primary but is unattached in the general election.

The multimodal survey of 1,036 registered New York City voters was conducted between July 2-6 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

It comes as Cuomo weighs whether to mount a serious campaign on his independent “Fight and Deliver” line — and while the former governor and the current mayor publicly bicker and call on the other one to drop out in order to best consolidate opposition to Mamdani.

Adams in particular is in a bad spot. His net approval rating is at -34, with 28 percent of respondents expressing a favorable view and 62 percent unfavorable. By comparison, Mamdani is at +4 and Cuomo is at -2.

Adams trails Mamdani among every single subset of voters except one: Republicans, where Adams picks up 26 percent to Mamdani’s 7 percent. Sliwa leads among Republicans however, with 43 percent, while Cuomo gets 16 percent.

Adams, who is Black, even trails both Mamdani and Cuomo among Black voters. Mamdani leads with 35 percent, followed by Cuomo at 32, Adams at 14 and Sliwa at 3.

“Let’s not forget: just weeks ago, Andrew Cuomo was ahead in multiple polls and then went on to lose the primary by double digits,” Adams’ campaign spokesperson Todd Shapiro said in a statement. “Real New Yorkers” are “only now tuning in,” he added, “and voters will choose progress over extremism every time.”

Mamdani won the Democratic primary 56-44 over Cuomo in the final round of ranked choice voting. He’s been working to consolidate Democratic Party support for the general election in a city where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans 6-to-1 and unaffiliated voters 3-to-1.

Other polls conducted after the June 23 primary have found similar results for the general election. A pro-Adams poll from Gotham Polling & Analytics found Mamdani with 41 percent, followed by Cuomo at 26, Adams at 16 and Sliwa at 10 percent, the New York Post reported. And an American Pulse poll found Mamdani at 35 percent, Cuomo at 29, Sliwa at 16 and Adams at 14.